HitRateProp
HITRATEPROP LEARN

Learn Player Prop Research

Simple guides to understanding hit rates, player props and the numbers shown on HitRateProp.

Getting Started

Getting Started

What Is a Player Prop Hit Rate?

Learn what a hit rate measures, what L5/L10/L20 mean, and what the percentage does — and does not — tell you.

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Getting Started

How to Read Player Prop Hit Rates Correctly

A practical way to compare recent and longer-term hit rates without blindly following the highest percentage.

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Getting Started

L5 vs L10 vs L20: Which Hit Rate Should You Use?

Understand the trade-off between recent form and larger samples when comparing player prop trends.

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Getting Started

Why a 70% Hit Rate Doesn't Mean a 70% Chance of Winning

Historical frequency and the probability of the next game are different things. Here's why.

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Understanding Props

Understanding Props

What Does Over/Under 0.5 Mean in Player Props?

Why half-point lines such as 0.5, 1.5 and 2.5 are common and how Overs and Unders are graded.

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Better Research

Better Research

Why Sample Size Matters in Player Prop Research

Small samples move fast. Learn why a longer history can change how you interpret a hot or cold streak.

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